Oscars predictions from the Advocate

As an all-seeing mystic, I have peered into the future to see what/who will likely win this year’s Academy Awards, on Feb. 26 on ABC at 4pm. Sure, I could use this ability to help prevent future disasters, but that wouldn’t be nearly as fun.

Films that are most likely to win each category are highlighted in red; films that might be a darkhorse, upset winner are in orange.

Please bear in mind, these predictions are not necessarily an indicator of quality, just a calculation based on trends the Academy has been known for.

Happy betting!

BEST PICTURE

• Arrival
• Fences
• Hacksaw Ridge
• Hell or High Water
• Hidden Figures
• La La Land
• Lion
• Manchester by the Sea
• Moonlight

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

• Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea
• Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge
• Ryan Gosling – La La Land
• Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic
• Denzel Washington – Fences

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

• Isabelle Huppert – Elle
• Ruth Negga – Loving
• Natalie Portman – Jackie
• Emma Stone – La La Land
• Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

• Mahershala Ali – Moonlight
• Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water
• Lucas Hedges – Manchester by the Sea
• Dev Patel – Lion
• Michael Shannon – Nocturnal Animals

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

• Viola Davis – Fences
• Naomie Harris – Moonlight
• Nicole Kidman – Lion
• Octavia Spencer – Hidden Figures
• Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

• Kubo and the Two Strings
• Moana
• My Life as a Zucchini
• The Red Turtle
• Zootopia

CINEMATOGRAPHY

• Arrival
• La La Land
• Lion
• Moonlight
• Silence

COSTUME DESIGN

• Allied
• Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
• Florence Foster Jenkins
• Jackie
• La La Land

DIRECTING

• Arrival
• Hacksaw Ridge
• La La Land
• Manchester by the Sea
• Moonlight

DOCUMENTARY (FEATURE)

• Fire at Sea
• I Am Not Your Negro
• Life, Animated
• O.J.: Made in America
• 13th

DOCUMENTARY (SHORT SUBJECT)

• Extremis
• 4.1 Miles
• Joe’s Violin
• Watani: My Homeland
• The White Helmets

FILM EDITING

• Arrival
• Hacksaw Ridge
• Hell or High Water
• La La Land
• Moonlight

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Land of Mine – Denmark

• A Man Called Ove – Sweden
• The Salesman – Iran
• Tanna – Australia
• Toni Erdmann – Germany

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

• A Man Called Ove
• Star Trek Beyond
• Suicide Squad

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)

• Jackie
• La La Land
• Lion
• Moonlight
• Passengers

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)

• “Audition (The Fools Who Dream)” from La La Land
• “Can’t Stop The Feeling” from Trolls
• “City Of Stars” from La La Land 
• “The Empty Chair” from Jim: The James Foley Story
• “How Far I’ll Go” from Moana

PRODUCTION DESIGN

• Arrival
• Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
• Hail, Caesar!
• La La Land
• Passengers

SHORT FILM (ANIMATED)

• Blind Vaysha
• Borrowed Time
• Pear Cider and Cigarettes
• Pearl
• Piper

SHORT FILM (LIVE ACTION)

• Ennemis Intérieurs
• La Femme et le TGV
• Silent Nights
• Sing
• Timecode

SOUND EDITING

• Arrival
• Deepwater Horizon
• Hacksaw Ridge
• La La Land
• Sully

SOUND MIXING

• Arrival
• Hacksaw Ridge 
• La La Land
• Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
• 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi

VISUAL EFFECTS

• Deepwater Horizon
• Doctor Strange
• The Jungle Book
• Kubo and the Two Strings
• Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)

• Arrival
• Fences 
• Hidden Figures
• Lion
• Moonlight

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)

• Hell or High Water
• La La Land
• The Lobster
• Manchester by the Sea
• 20th Century Women